Illinois vs Arizona State 9/8/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Illinois winning 51% of simulations, and Arizona State 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Illinois commits fewer turnovers in 50% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Arizona State wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Nathan Scheelhaase is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Cameron Marshall is averaging 70 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARIST -1.5

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